The Mutual Feedback Mechanism and Collaborative Management of Green Cost Allocation and Bullwhip Effect

Abstract

Against the backdrop of the "dual carbon" goals in China and the rising threshold for green trade, how to reasonably allocate the incremental costs generated by the greening of the supply chain among the upstream and downstream has become a key factor affecting operational stability and collaborative performance. This study takes green cost allocation and the bullwhip effect as its theme, sorts out the causes of the bullwhip effect and its amplification mechanism in the green transformation, and reveals how the allocation uncertainty forms a negative cycle of "rising green costs - intensified demand fluctuations" through information delay and order batch adjustment. It also proposes a positive path with carbon data transparency, dynamic contracts and inventory/scheduling coordination as the key points, and builds a closed loop of "fair allocation - accurate information - fluctuation suppression - performance improvement". The research conclusion indicates that in manufacturing, fast-moving consumer goods and cross-border supply chains, a green information sharing platform should be established based on the specific conditions of each chain, order fluctuation thresholds should be set, and a green processing window should be included to achieve dual goals of the environment and operation.